US OUTLOOK/OPINION: JPM says latest core econ data reported for construction,...

US OUTLOOK/OPINION: JPM says latest core econ data reported for construction,

cap goods, retail sales, trade, and inventories could "be modestly favorable for  GDP growth on net" from 2010 on, "led by a decent-sized upward revision to 1Q13  and mixed results across the other quarters." GDP revisions are due Jul 31 and  could initially confuse, JPM says.

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gold updates

Spot Gold down 2 pct to below $1,320/oz as Crude oil drops, Dollar adds gain 

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gold maid fresh low @27260 can book profit

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US DATA: July Markit PMI (flash) 53.2 vs 51.9f June, and text confirms it's a...

US DATA: July Markit PMI (flash) 53.2 vs 51.9f June, and text confirms it's a  high since March. Text says there was solid gain in orders and employment  gained. One caveat is that response rate was only 85% of normal.

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gold 2nd target achieved@27450

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rmseed up dates

Madhya Pradesh: Mustard Trading Lower in Physical Market
At Bhind market in Madhya Pradesh, Mustard Seed is trading weak at 3000-3050 per quintal, lower by 3.17 per cent from previous dayn#39;s price level. Total arrivals are at 500 quintals, lower by 500 quintals from previous dayn#39;s arrivals. Mustard Oil is offered lower at 0 6400 per quintal, down by 1.54 per cent from previous price level. Mustard seed at Dabra market is quoted at 0 3000-3100 per quintal, steady as against previous close. Total market arrivals are at 100 quintals, unchanged as compared to previous dayn#39;s arrival. Mustard Non-Condition at Morena market is trading lower at 0 3000 per quintal, down by 4.76 per cent as against previous day. Total arrivals are at 500 quintals, up by 100 quintals as against previous day. Mustard Condition at Morena market is quoted weak at 0 3150 per quintal, lower by 3.73 per cent as compared to previous day. Mustard in Madhya Pradesh Market (Prices in per quintal) Market Commodity/Variety Price Change Absolute Bhind Mustard Seed 3000-3050 -100 Bhind Mustard Oil 6400 -100 Dabra Mustard seed 3000-3100 0 nnbsp; nnbsp; nnbsp; nnbsp; Morena Mustard Non-Condition 3000 -150 Morena Mustard Condition 3150 -122 nnbsp;
  

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lead tips

sell lead @122 target 121.30/120.80

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rbi updates

RBI could also resort to an outright hike in the policy rate 

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US OUTLOOK/OPINION: Goldman says a better budget means smaller UST financing...

US OUTLOOK/OPINION: Goldman says a better budget means smaller UST financing.  "While there is a very high likelihood that auction sizes will be reduced in  coming quarters, we think it is a close call whether anything will be announced  in the immediate term. Ultimately, we think near-term cuts are slightly more  likely than not. Any reduction is likely to be concentrated in 2- and 3-year  auction sizes."

Quotes from Societe Generale Cross Asset Research:

-Under the Chinese hard landing scenario, we would expect China to lead the easing cycle. The PBOC would both slash the Reserve Requirement Ratio (RRR) and conduct sizeable repo operations to ensure ample liquidity, which would lead to lower money market fixings. We conservatively estimate that the RRR would be cut by 4.5 percentage points from 20% to the post-Lehman low of 15.5%, which would in turn push front-end rates below 1.00%.

-Elsewhere in the region, we expect rates to fall towards the levels seen in 2008. The inflationary impact of cuts in domestic subsidies and tariff hikes in electricity and fuel would be overshadowed by the deflationary pressure from a sharp economic slowdown. India, Malaysia and Thailand would have the most scope to ease from current levels, while  Taiwan and Indonesia have the least room to manoeuvre.